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When MNCs leave

May 21, 2026
Shell logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier in this illustration taken September 4, 2022, in reference to Shell’s announcement to exit Pakistan as the energy major winds down its operations in the country. — Reuters
Shell logo and stock graph are seen through a magnifier in this illustration taken September 4, 2022, in reference to Shell’s announcement to exit Pakistan as the energy major winds down its operations in the country. — Reuters

The recent continued exit of multinational corporations from Pakistan has sparked predictable reactions, alarm, blame, nostalgia and in some quarters, denial. But the truth lies neither in panic nor in bravado. It lies in honest introspection, followed by confident action.

This perspective is shaped by my 45 years of firsthand experience working with leading American and British multinational corporations across multiple markets. This experience reveals that while multinationals bring immense value, their commitment to any market is ultimately driven by discipline, returns and predictability, not sentiment.

Multinationals matter to us. They always have. They have brought capital; they brought culture, discipline, global standards, managerial practices, governance frameworks, brand equity and exposure to international markets. Any serious economy understands this and values it. In Pakistan, this impact is tangible, with over 200–250 multinational companies operating across key sectors.

So the first and most uncomfortable question we must ask is this: are multinationals leaving Pakistan because of us?

If the answer is yes, if they are exiting due to policy unpredictability, regulatory harassment, weak contract enforcement, governance failures, or an environment that makes long-term planning impossible, then the fault lies squarely at our doorstep. No economy can afford to ignore this.

However, there is a second truth that must be acknowledged, even if it unsettles conventional thinking. Multinationals also leave markets for reasons that have nothing to do with the host country. Global restructuring, shifting supply chains, changing consumer behavior, cost optimisation, geopolitical pressures or strategic pivots often dictate exits. In such cases, waiting endlessly for their return is neither realistic nor wise.

It is also important to recognise that the reputational impact of these exits is not neutral. Most departing firms are American or Western multinationals, and their withdrawal sends adverse global signalling, while imposing significant financial and operational losses on local partners, franchisees and employees who built longterm businesses around these brands. If multinationals are leaving of their own accord, then we must let them go, without resentment, without insecurity and without paralysis. More importantly, we must be prepared to fill the space they leave behind.

Pakistan has the human capital, entrepreneurial depth, technical capability and market size to produce almost anything it consumes – and much that the world demands. The gap left by departing multinationals is an opening for local manufacturers, engineers, technologists, designers, marketers and managers to step up. Encouragingly, a new generation of Pakistani entrepreneurs is already stepping into this space, launching 100 per cent homegrown, locally sourced brands. Their success, however, is largely driven by individual effort rather than a supportive ecosystem.

Where multinationals add value, raise standards and operate fairly, they should be welcomed, protected and partnered with. Where they choose to exit for global reasons beyond our control, Pakistan must respond not with anxiety, but with confidence.That confidence must be backed by policy. This confidence must now translate into urgent state action: stabilising policy and regulatory frameworks to retain credible multinationals, while simultaneously offering targeted finance, tax certainty, export facilitation and supplychain support to local entrepreneurs.

Local industry must be empowered to scale, through the deliberate development of a strong, integrated ecosystem where businesses, financial institutions, academia, regulators and multinationals operate in alignment rather than isolation. Access to finance must be improved, skills must be aligned with industry needs, supply chains must be localised, innovation must be encouraged and regulations must be simplified.

In successful economies, multinationals, local firms, financial institutions, universities and regulators function within a coordinated framework where knowledge transfer, vendor development, talent pipelines, and technology diffusion occur organically. In Pakistan, however, these linkages remain fragmented.

This gap explains why multinational presence has historically failed to translate into enduring domestic capacity. Local vendors often remain peripheral, technology absorption is limited and managerial learning is rarely scaled across sectors. When a multinational exits, it leaves behind little more than vacant shelf space and stranded partners.

This is why the debate on multinational exits must move beyond simplistic assumptions. Multinationals do not necessarily avoid localisation; many pursue it where suppliers can meet global standards and volumes justify investment. The real challenge is that meaningful localisation requires scale, and scale requires a stable, predictable and commercially viable operating environment. When taxes, duties, regulatory friction and policy uncertainty restrict growth, both multinationals and local partners struggle to build the volume needed for deeper local sourcing and vendor development.

Pakistan must project consistency, rule-based governance and commercial credibility to global markets, framing multinational exits not as decline but as part of economic transition. The key risk is not their departure, but failing to draw the right lessons. If exits reflect structural challenges, reform is essential; if not, self-reliance must become a strategic priority. This moment calls for mature leadership.

What Pakistan needs is clarity: to fix what drives value away and to confidently fill the gaps where others choose to leave. If Pakistan can simultaneously restore investor confidence and systematically empower domestic enterprise, the departure of some global brands may ultimately mark not decline, but maturation.

Pakistan must adopt a dual-track strategy, retain and reassure multinationals through policy stability and ease of doing business, while aggressively building a domestic ecosystem that enables local champions to scale, compete and lead. This requires institutional coordination, long-term policy consistency and a deliberate focus on capability building, not just capital attraction. That is how serious economies behave. And that is the choice now before us, which must form part of Pakistan’s budgetary planning.


The writer is a former global corporate executive (Unilever, PepsiCo, Yum! Brands), a mental health advocate and a founding board member of Taskeen, a pioneering organisation focused on emotional well-being in Pakistan.