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Trump’s NSS 2025

December 11, 2025
US President Donald Trump looks on as he signs an executive order in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, US, January 31, 2025. — Reuters
US President Donald Trump looks on as he signs an executive order in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, US, January 31, 2025. — Reuters

The US’ newly released National Security Strategy (NSS) under the Trump administration marks one of the most significant recalibrations of American strategic thought in decades. Although an NSS is never the work of a single leader, the overarching framing unmistakably carries the imprint of US President Trump’s worldview. It presents an attempt to pull the US away from decades-old globalist, interventionist policy with its moral-missionary framing that continued through two centuries, emphasised through the cold war and since 9/11. The approach reflected in NSS 2025 is neither isolationist nor glibly globalist but grounded in a selective, interest-based American pragmatism.

This shift stands in contrast to Trump’s 2017 NSS, which, despite Trump’s own instincts, was heavily shaped by security doctrines internalised through the decades, including by institutions he would work through. The 2025 NSS, by contrast, is more candid, less moralising and more explicitly transactional. It moves away from the longstanding American reflex to define global events in binary terms – democracy vs dictatorship, liberalism vs extremism, America vs the rest. Instead, it seeks to anchor US engagement in economic security, resilient supply chains, national cohesion and strategic restraint.

The document does not merely present the old approach in new words but signals a change in the logic of US statecraft. And understanding this requires acknowledging something deeper: American institutions carry decades of globalist momentum. Whether under Clinton, Bush, Obama, Hillary Clinton at State or Biden, the core assumptions remained strikingly similar – America as an indispensable nation, leader of a world order, custodian of global norms and ultimate arbiter of international legitimacy. Trump, however, challenges these premises. He argues that global leadership is neither America’s ‘natural destiny’ nor its strategic obligation. To ward off charges of being an isolationist, Trump insists that America should not expend blood and treasure to police the world without clear, direct benefit – especially economic – to the US.

The 2025 NSS reflects this tension between institutional continuity and Trump’s disruptive instincts. It documents Trump’s critiques and his initiation of subsequent policy actions: recalibrating alliances, renegotiating trade, reducing military entanglements and prioritising domestic economic revitalisation. One of the clearest departures lies in the strategy’s economic framing. The document stresses economic well-being as the foundation of national security. It emphasises safeguarding sea lanes, securing supply chains, building competitive technological capacity, preserving US financial power and revitalising industrial production. Unlike earlier strategies that embedded economic policy within broader geopolitical objectives, this NSS reframes priorities: economic resilience is the objective and global engagement is a tool, used selectively, not ideologically.

Nowhere is the contrast with earlier US strategies more pronounced than in its treatment of alliances. The transatlantic relationship, long the centrepiece of US grand strategy, has shifted and been removed from its privileged place. Nato is no longer treated as an unquestioned strategic legacy. Trump insists that Europe must shoulder its own defence burdens; the US will not subsidise European security indefinitely. The Ukraine conflict is framed less as a civilisational struggle and more as a regional war requiring a negotiated settlement rather than open-ended US underwriting. This marks a major shift away from the traditional Atlantic compact and signals a new American posture: partnership without total dependency, engagement without strategic obligation.

The most striking break from the past, however, lies in the strategy’s treatment of China. For two decades, the US foreign-policy establishment had constructed a bipartisan consensus around viewing China as America’s central adversary. The Biden administration attempted to formalise this through the 'democracy vs autocracy 'framing and launched initiatives such as the Build Back Better World (B3W) to counter China’s Belt and Road Initiative. The Trump administration’s NSS moves away from this adversarial template. China is framed as a competitor but not an existential enemy; a state whose rise must be managed, not reversed. The document hints at competitive coexistence, recognising that the world’s two largest economies will compete vigorously but need not slide into confrontation.

This shift aligns with Trump’s personal diplomatic approach: sharp rhetoric at times, but also a readiness to negotiate deals, explore mutual interests and avoid the fatalistic determinism that has characterised US strategic discourse on China. The rare-earth mineral agreements, the willingness to engage on market access and the absence of cold-war binaries all echo this stance.

In the Middle East and South Asia, the 2025 NSS outlines a similarly de-ideologised posture. The era of democracy export is over; Washington no longer frames the region through the lens of transformation, state-building or regime engineering. Pakistan is not viewed solely through a South Asian prism but as a country with multiple regional linkages – South Asia, the Muslim world, China and the Gulf. Trump’s approach to Israel–Palestine, despite its moral shortcomings and silences, still reflects his broader instinct: transactional engagement, a willingness to prod entrenched positions and an attempt, however limited, to move beyond the static frameworks of past US policy.

Another notable shift in the NSS is an open demand for a Monroe-style, US-centric notion of extended security. While in practice US policy has always operated with this logic, NSS 2025 finally acknowledges this reality. US strategy now explicitly grants the US an expanded security sphere in the Western Hemisphere – what Trump calls the 'Trump Corollary' to the Monroe Doctrine. Importantly, this privilege is asserted only for the US; the NSS does not formally extend the same right to other major powers.

Yet Trump’s approach to the Russia–Ukraine war suggests a more complicated picture. Although the document does not endorse equal spheres of influence for all states, Trump’s handling of the conflict appears to acknowledge that Russia’s historical experiences and its stated fears shape its threat perceptions. In this sense, Trump’s framing comes close to conceding that Russia, too, operates with an expanded security logic even if the NSS itself does not explicitly grant Russia or any other power the same doctrinal privilege the US claims for itself.

The cumulative effect of these shifts is a strategy that veers away from decades-long US foreign policy. It attempts to end the 'forever war' mindset, pushes back against automatic military activism, redefines alliances and prioritises American economic well-being over ideological agendas. It is more candid, less moralistic and more overtly interest-driven.

The strategy is not without its flaws, though. Its restraint on global commitments may create vacuums that other powers fill; its economic nationalism could spur new tensions; its pragmatic silences – especially on Gaza – reflect indulgence in and facilitation of Israeli genocide of Palestinians.

Yet even with these limitations, the 2025 NSS represents a critical moment in US strategic thought. It acknowledges the changing global order, recognises the diffusion of power and accepts that America’s prosperity will be secured not through global policing but through selective engagement, competitive coexistence, economic resilience and strategic clarity.


The writer is a foreign policy & international security expert. She tweets/posts @nasimzehra and can be reached at: [email protected]