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Is your EV a luxury?

By  Mashhood Urfi
19 October, 2026

The IMF has 'asked' Pakistan to end the concessional tax rate on electric vehicles (EVs).

ELECTRIC VEHICLE POLICY

Is your EV a luxury?

The IMF has 'asked' Pakistan to end the concessional tax rate on electric vehicles (EVs).

The rationale reportedly is that electric vehicles are a luxury rather than a necessity for low-income consumers, prompting a call to withdraw the concessional rates entirely. According to sources, this could raise the sales tax on electric vehicles from 1.0 per cent to the standard 18 per cent. While this logic might hold water if one’s definition of an electric vehicle begins and ends with imported, top-tier electric SUVs, it falls spectacularly short when applied to Pakistan's broader, far more critical mobility landscape.

To understand the gravity of this proposed rollback, we must examine the glaring incoherence it creates between two of the Fund’s own parallel programs: the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). The RSF is designed specifically to help vulnerable nations build macroeconomic resilience against climate shocks and reduce systemic reliance on imported fossil fuels. Under RSF Reform Measure 10, Pakistan committed to a revenue-neutral green-mobility framework, a deliberate architecture designed to pair EV incentives with additional taxation on internal-combustion-engine (ICE) vehicles.

The explicit goal was to incentivise EV uptake to meet national targets of 30 per cent penetration for new passenger EVs and 50 per cent for two- and three-wheelers by 2030. These concessions form the foundation of a policy meant to lower the upfront cost of electrification and systematically slash the nation's crippling petroleum import bill. Stripping them away to meet short-term revenue targets under the EFF’s structural benchmarks is robbing Peter to pay Paul.

The fundamental flaw in the reported IMF position is the rigid application of a single yardstick to a highly stratified mobility market. Media reports correctly note the mathematical reality for high-end consumers: the tax on an EV worth Rs10 million could rise from Rs100,000 to Rs1.8 million. Taxing a Rs10 million luxury vehicle at an 18 per cent standard rate could be a defensible fiscal measure. However, blindly applying that same 18 per cent standard rate to a locally assembled electric motorcycle, an e-rickshaw, or a commercial electric three-wheeler is economically destructive.

These smaller vehicles are not weekend toys; they are the lifeblood of everyday mobility and commerce for the lower- and middle-income demographics. By conflating premium four-wheelers with commuter two- and three-wheelers, this blanket policy risks crushing Pakistan's green transition at the grassroots level before it can even mature.

Consider the immediate market reality and the fierce battleground of Pakistan's two-wheeler segment. The traditional 70cc ICE motorbike is an institution! It is deeply entrenched in the societal fabric because it excels in areas that heavily dictate consumer behaviour for a Pakistani commoner: sheer durability on unforgiving roads, tested reliability and an unparalleled, decentralised aftermarket ecosystem.

The 70cc bike offers proven comfort. Its suspension and frame have been battle-tested for decades on rural dirt paths and potholed urban arteries. More importantly, every street corner has a mechanic who can fix a 70cc engine blindfolded, and spare parts are universally available and exceptionally cheap.

An electric bike, conversely, is a nascent technology attempting to break into a highly sceptical market. It naturally raises new consumer anxieties about battery degradation in extreme summers, the scarcity of charging infrastructure and heavy reliance on a fragmented supply chain for specialised spare parts like hub motors and controllers. Currently, the 1.0 per cent concessional sales tax is the vital, artificial counterbalance that makes an EV bike's higher upfront cost somewhat palatable against the deeply established 70cc alternative.

Treating the electric motorcycle of a daily wage earner, a factory worker or a delivery rider with the same fiscal hostility as a premium imported SUV is a profound failure of policy imagination 

If this tax is abruptly hiked to 18 per cent, the retail price of an electric motorcycle will surge, destroying its only competitive edge. When faced with a substantially higher upfront cost for an EV bike, along with lingering doubts about long-term reliability and spare-parts availability, consumers will inevitably fall back on the ICE option. The average citizen's economic calculus is ruthless and highly rational: why pay a massive premium for unproven technology with a fragile maintenance network when the trusted, highly liquid, and easily repairable 70cc bike is cheaper at the dealership?

The policy misstep also extends to the broader ecosystem. Sources indicate that the sales tax on EV charging stations could also be increased from 1 per cent to 18 per cent. Charging infrastructure is the critical enabler of the entire green mobility transition. Taxing it as a luxury good will stall capital investment in public charging networks, meaning range anxiety will remain a permanent feature of the Pakistani EV experience and further suppress adoption rates.

The irony is that this fiscal tightening works against the IMF's core mandate of stabilising Pakistan's balance of payments. The country's economic vulnerability is inextricably tied to volatile global oil markets and a structurally unsustainable petroleum import bill. Electric two- and three-wheelers represent a strategic, highly actionable pathway to systematically reduce this import reliance.

A competitively priced electric motorcycle charged via the domestic grid or, increasingly, via localised rooftop solar, represents foreign exchange permanently preserved. By making EV bikes unaffordable and uncompetitive against the 70cc status quo, the IMF is effectively guaranteeing that millions of daily commuters remain tethered to imported petrol. This sustains the very external-account vulnerabilities and macroeconomic fragility the EFF is ostensibly meant to cure.

What is urgently required is not a blanket withdrawal of concessions, but a sophisticated, stratified tax regime that understands the nuances of the Global South's mobility dynamics. The IMF and the government of Pakistan must differentiate between luxury consumption and transition infrastructure. The IMF and the government of Pakistan should phase out concessions on high-end, private electric cars or replace them with the standard 18 per cent rate, as their buyers are relatively price-inelastic. However, the 1.0 per cent concessional rate must be fiercely protected, and ideally locked in over a long-term horizon, for electric two-wheelers, three-wheelers, public transport buses, local manufacturing components, batteries and charging stations.

The transition to electric mobility in Pakistan should not be a vanity project; it is a macroeconomic survival imperative. Treating the electric motorcycle of a daily wage earner, a factory worker or a delivery rider with the same fiscal hostility as a premium imported SUV is a profound failure of policy imagination.

If the EFF's rigid revenue targets carelessly cannibalise the RSF's climate resilience goals, the only guaranteed outcome will be a poorer, more polluted, and chronically oil-dependent Pakistan. It is time to implement a genuine trade-off analysis that accounts for these structural realities, ensuring that our road to economic stabilisation isn't paved with the fatal mistakes of short-sighted, single-yardstick taxation.


The writer works at the Alternate Development Services (ADS) and can be reached on LinkedIn @MashhoodUrfi

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