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Resilience has a limit

December 20, 2025
This picture shows workers operating machines at the Kohinoor Textile Mills in Lahore. — AFP/File
This picture shows workers operating machines at the Kohinoor Textile Mills in Lahore. — AFP/File

LAHORE: The manufacturing sector presents a paradox rarely seen elsewhere in the world. Even under the most distressing economic conditions, resilient firms continue to survive. Yet, despite this extraordinary resilience, they fail to scale, modernise or emerge as regional or global champions.

Survival has become an achievement in itself -- growth, an exception. Over the past decade, Pakistan’s manufacturers have endured a perfect storm: persistent double-digit inflation, prohibitively high bank markups, repeated energy shortages, restrictive visa regimes, and an import policy that exposes domestic producers to fierce global competition without providing them a level playing field. In most economies, such conditions would have wiped out large segments of industry. In Pakistan, firms have endured -- but at a heavy and largely invisible cost.

Entrepreneurs have internalised hardship as a permanent feature of the system. Electricity and gas shortages are no longer treated as shocks but as routine operational constraints. Petroleum prices fluctuate with global markets while remaining burdened by heavy levies imposed under IMF-driven fiscal consolidation. Inflation remains stubborn, and interest rates stay elevated not because of market forces alone, but due to a state machinery that lacks the institutional capacity to manage price stability. Pakistani businesses operate knowing that policy correction, if it comes at all, will be delayed and partial.

Yet the burden does not end there. Pakistani exporters pay a “perception discount” in international markets. Their products are often viewed through the prism of country risk, governance weaknesses, and reliability concerns -- regardless of actual quality. At home, they deal with a bureaucracy that is both corrupt and inefficient, adding delays, uncertainty, and informal costs to every transaction. Law and order issues further compound risks. Still, manufacturing output has not collapsed. Plants continue to run, workers continue to show up, and orders are fulfilled -- often against all odds.

Pakistani manufacturers have no room for complacency. The economy is relatively open, and failure to cut costs means losing not just export markets, but even domestic market share to imported goods. This constant threat keeps firms on their toes. Efficiency is not a strategic choice; it is a survival instinct.

Technology has played a quiet but transformative role. Entrepreneurs can now monitor operations remotely, whether they are abroad or traveling within the country. Continuous digital oversight has plugged leakages, identified pilferage, reduced theft, and improved staff discipline. Workers know monitoring is constant, not occasional. In many cases, this alone has generated cost savings of around 10 per cent.

There have also been rare but telling moments of solidarity. In some distressed firms, workers have agreed to uniform salary cuts to keep factories running rather than face mass layoffs. Such episodes challenge the narrative that labour and capital are always adversaries. They also reveal how deeply existential the struggle for survival has become.

Large manufacturing units have managed to partially offset energy shocks by investing in conservation and efficiency, reducing power costs by 20-25 per cent. Small and cottage industries, however, have been devastated. With outdated machinery, higher line losses, and no access to affordable capital for upgrades, many have simply disappeared. Those that remain operate at the edge of viability.

The efficiencies extracted through better management, worker discipline and technology are not being reinvested into innovation, automation, or product diversification. In other countries, such savings fuel the next phase of growth. In Pakistan, they merely compensate for the excessive cost of doing business.

The private sector cannot compete globally on resilience alone which has a limit. Manufacturers must deal with more than two dozen government agencies for permits, inspections, clearances and compliance. The man-hours lost in navigating this maze are unproductive and costly.

Pakistan’s manufacturers have proved they can survive almost anything. What they have not been allowed to prove is whether they can scale. Until the state drastically reduces bureaucratic friction, lowers the cost of compliance, rationalises energy pricing, and restores policy credibility, survival will remain the ceiling -- not the floor -- of industrial ambition. And survival, no matter how heroic, is no substitute for growth.